When one party thinks that an election can have only two outcomes—they win and they lose—the election is rigged. Then democracy cannot survive. US President Joe Biden made this comment while talking about the US election on September 1. But his comment may be applicable for Brazil as well. Brazil's presidential election next month. Jair Bolsonaro, a devoted fan of former US President Donald Trump, known as the "Trump of Brazil", will fight for the presidency again. But every poll conducted before the election showed that current Brazilian President Bolsonaro was going to lose.
Bolsonaro said that if the elections were free and transparent, he would accept the results. Brazil's election results are supposed to be transparent. Because, there is not much doubt about the country's electronic voting system. It is also difficult to change the result of this machine. So where is the problem? The Economist says the issue of vote neutrality in the electronic voting system is now a headache for Bolsonaro. He has been saying that opinion polls are not correct. He is on his way to winning.
Bolsonaro has his own complaints about the election. Saying that the election may be rigged to defeat him. He could not provide any evidence for the allegations. But Bolsonaro has a group of 'blind' supporters. They believe what Bolsonaro says, as do Trump supporters. Bolsonaro is trying to confuse the situation by making accusations of fraud in the election in advance. He is already preparing the background so that the election can be rejected. Brazilians fear that Bolsonaro may incite a rebellion if the result does not go in their favor. Former US President Donald Trump did exactly that. On January 6 last year, a group of supporters of Donald Trump attacked the US Parliament building, the Capitol.
A re-election of 76-year-old Lula da Silva as president would be an example of a stunning comeback.
According to the BBC, in a hearing of the United States Congress, Trump was accused of having rioted in the Capitol in January 2021 as part of a coup attempt. The attackers came with 'war preparations' in the wake of the rampage at the Capitol. The extremists gathered around the building with various equipment including weapons, wireless communication systems to riot. The security system was inadequate to deal with their preparations. On January 6, supporters of then-President Trump attacked the Capitol during a session of Congress to confirm the results of newly elected President Joe Biden. Five people were killed in the attack.
Why will Bolsonaro repeat the events of Trump's Capitol? The answer to this question will be found in his behavior. He has followed Trump several times before. He has already sown the seeds of division in the country. He can't take criticism. All criticism against him, he dismissed as 'fake news'. His instincts are as authoritarian as Trump's. He reminisced about the days of Brazil's military rule. Bolsonaro's son Edoardo is his close advisor. Eduardo once directly praised the Capitol riots. Bolsonaro is the only leader in the world who recognizes Biden's victory after all.
Bolsonaro was elected president in 2018 on an anti-corruption stance and a promise to eradicate crime. But he has learned the trick of pulling in supporters. These include things like the constant abuse of social media. Through this, he was able to convince the supporters of two things. One is that if he loses the election, the election will not be transparent. The second is that if his rival Lula da Silva wins, he will hand over Brazil to Satan. Bolsonaro also took to social media to say that if Lula wins, Brazil's church will be closed and the country will turn into a narco-state.
But the rumors about Lula have no basis. Lula served two terms as president of Brazil from 2003–2010. Brazil prospered rapidly during his reign. His administration changed the fortunes of millions of poor people. Lula left power with great popularity. However, after leaving power, Lula was accused of corruption and served 580 days in prison in 2018-2019. The charges against him were later dropped. If the 76-year-old leader is re-elected as president, it will be an example of a stunning comeback. Economist says about Lula, Lula may not be an ideal candidate. But he is a supporter of normality and democracy.
Political life of Bolsonaro and Lula
Bolsonaro was born on March 21, 1955 in a city in Sao Paulo, Brazil. His father was a dentist. Bolsonaro attended schools run by the Brazilian army and graduated from the Agulhas Negras Military Academy in 1977. He then served in the army for about 17 years. He served as Chhatrisena. In 1986 He is selected to the post of captain in the military. When he came under criticism from the higher authorities of the army after writing an article on the salary system of the army. However, he was praised by colleagues and the public. He left the army in 1988. The following year he won election to the Rio de Janeiro City Council. Two years later he won a seat represents to Rio Janeiro in Brazil's FCD. He was in that position seven times in a row. Since then, he has gained a reputation for speaking out for conservatives on social issues. He gained special recognition in the political arena due to his various comments.
Bolsonaro served as the head of the Foreign Relations and National Defense Committee. He was also a member of the Human Rights and Minority Rights Commission. He joined the Progressive Party in 1993 from the Christian Democratic Party. Later in 1995, the party made its debut as the Brazilian Progressive Party. He joined the Labor Party in 2003 but returned to the old party two years later. After 2 years he id joined to SCP.
Bolsonaro's fortunes began to change when Brazil's economic situation began to deteriorate. Dilma Rousseff's successor, Dilma Rousseff, led the country into an economic recession. In addition, allegations of corruption against mainstream politicians began to emerge. Bolsonaro announced to fight in the 2018 presidential election. He is not inherently a supporter of democracy. Worryingly, the mechanism to hold Bolsonaro to the rules of democracy is less powerful than it is to hold back Trump. A coup by the US military might be unthinkable. But Brazil's history of military rule is not very old. The country's military rule ended in 1985. The country's military has infiltrated the government and questioned the electoral system. The people of the country are not ruling out a military coup.

But a military coup may not happen in Brazil. But a rebellion of some kind could be brewing. Bolsonaro regularly incites violence. within the first six months 45 politicians had been killed of this yr. Now Bolsonaro's followers are more armed than ever. Loopholes in arms control laws have widened since Bolsonaro came to power. Two million people own personal weapons in the country. If Brazil's electoral tribunal declares Lula the winner, armed Bolsonaro operatives may attack them. Then the question will arise, whose orders will the country's 400,000 strong police force follow or whose side will it take? Some members of the country's police force are followers of Bolsonaro. He proposed legislation to protect suspected police officers. Some police officers may show loyalty to Bolsonaro over Brazil's constitution. If chaos or protests break out in the streets, Bolsonaro can use his emergency powers to stop the transfer of power.
Bolsonaro could pose a major threat to Latin America's largest democracy. He has already been accused of destroying the Amazon forest. During his tenure, the rate of Amazon deforestation accelerated by 70 percent. He allegedly took no action to protect Amazon. But whatever happens in the country's political sphere, Bolsonaro and his activities will not end. He learned from Trump how to wrest influence and power in the face of defeat.
When ordinary candidates lose elections, their parties look for new faces. Weed out the old candidate as much as possible. But when Trump lost the US presidential election, he told his supporters that their victory had been taken away. He was able to turn his 'big lie' into a huge rally and procession. He brought his supporters under a shadow and started a big protest. He managed to convince his Republican Party that there was no one else to challenge him as a leader. Similarly, if Bolsonaro resorts to big lies, he too could become Brazil's most influential opposition politician. His legions of supporters, especially conservative Christians, gun-owners, and rural folk may remain on his side. They may think that he is the right president of Brazil. His supporters in the legislature and in the states could challenge Lula's rule. Brazil could be further divided.
At best, Bolsonaro would have to lose by a wide margin, economists say, so he can't claim victory. For this, he will have to lose by a large margin in the first round of voting on October 2. Or he will have to close his mouth after losing by a large margin in the second round of voting (run-off) on October 30. But the few weeks of October will be filled with great anxiety. These days will be dangerous, no doubt. For this, other countries must support Brazil's democracy. Other countries must make it clear that they will not support Brazil if the military stage a coup. Brazilian voters must also avoid the temptation of blatant populism. Remember, the people of Brazil expect better.
When ordinary candidates lose elections, their events look for new faces. Weed out as many vintage candidates as possible. But while Trump misplaced the USA presidential election, he informed his supporters that their victory have been taken away. He controlled to show his 'huge lie' into a huge rally and march. He delivered his supporters under the shade and started out huge protests. He managed to persuade his Republican Party that there was no one else to undertaking him as chief. Similarly, if Bolsonaro resorts to big lies, he too should emerge as Brazil's maximum influential opposition baby-kisser. He may additionally have legions of supporters, especially conservative Christians, gun owners and rural folk. They might imagine he is the right president of Brazil. His supporters in the legislature and states may additionally task Lula's rule. Brazil can be further divided.
After all, Bolsonaro would ought to lose through a wide margin, economists say, so he can't claim victory. For this, he will have to lose by a large margin within the first round of voting on October 2. Or lose with the aid of a big margin in the 2nd round of vote casting (run-off) on October 30 and shut up. But the few weeks of October can be filled with tremendous tension. These days might be risky, absolute confidence. For this, different countries should support Brazil's democracy. Other countries ought to make it clear that they will not help Brazil within the occasion of a army coup. Brazilian voters must additionally keep away from the temptation of radical populism. Remember, Brazilians count on better.
